Adam Kucharski - FHMs modell stämmer inte
datum | 2020/04/25 |
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etiketter | sverige |
url | https://twitter.com/adamjkucharski/status/1254084767496261632 |
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This modelling study from Sweden suggests 26% of Stockholm county will have been infected by May 1st (https://folkhalsomyndigheten.se/contentassets/2da059f90b90458d8454a04955d1697f/skattning-peakdag-antal-infekterade-covid-19-utbrottet-stockholms-lan-februari-april-2020.pdf). However, our estimates of under-reporting suggest only 5-10% have been infected so far (https://cmmid.github.io/topics/covid19/global_cfr_estimates.html). So what's going on?